target location
- North America > United States > California > Los Angeles County > Los Angeles (0.14)
- Oceania > Australia > Victoria > Melbourne (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York > Suffolk County > Huntington (0.04)
- (2 more...)
Where to Measure: Epistemic Uncertainty-Based Sensor Placement with ConvCNPs
Eksen, Feyza, Oehmcke, Stefan, Lüdtke, Stefan
Accurate sensor placement is critical for modeling spatio-temporal systems such as environmental and climate processes. Neural Processes (NPs), particularly Convolutional Conditional Neural Processes (ConvCNPs), provide scalable probabilistic models with uncertainty estimates, making them well-suited for data-driven sensor placement. However, existing approaches rely on total predictive uncertainty, which conflates epistemic and aleatoric components, that may lead to suboptimal sensor selection in ambiguous regions. To address this, we propose expected reduction in epistemic uncertainty as a new acquisition function for sensor placement. To enable this, we extend ConvCNPs with a Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) output head for epistemic uncertainty estimation. Preliminary results suggest that epistemic uncertainty driven sensor placement more effectively reduces model error than approaches based on overall uncertainty.
- Atlantic Ocean > North Atlantic Ocean > Baltic Sea (0.05)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
$\rm{A}^{\rm{SAR}}$: $\varepsilon$-Optimal Graph Search for Minimum Expected-Detection-Time Paths with Path Budget Constraints for Search and Rescue
Mugford, Eric, Gammell, Jonathan D.
Searches are conducted to find missing persons and/or objects given uncertain information, imperfect observers and large search areas in Search and Rescue (SAR). In many scenarios, such as Maritime SAR, expected survival times are short and optimal search could increase the likelihood of success. This optimization problem is complex for nontrivial problems given its probabilistic nature. Stochastic optimization methods search large problems by nondeterministically sampling the space to reduce the effective size of the problem. This has been used in SAR planning to search otherwise intractably large problems but the stochastic nature provides no formal guarantees on the quality of solutions found in finite time. This paper instead presents $\rm{A}^{\rm{SAR}}$, an $\varepsilon$-optimal search algorithm for SAR planning. It calculates a heuristic to bound the search space and uses graph-search methods to find solutions that are formally guaranteed to be within a user-specified factor, $\varepsilon$, of the optimal solution. It finds better solutions faster than existing optimization approaches in operational simulations. It is also demonstrated with a real-world field trial on Lake Ontario, Canada, where it was used to locate a drifting manikin in only 150s.
- Atlantic Ocean > North Atlantic Ocean > Bay of Fundy (0.05)
- Arctic Ocean (0.05)
- Pacific Ocean (0.04)
- (3 more...)
- Government > Military (0.68)
- Law Enforcement & Public Safety > Crime Prevention & Enforcement (0.47)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Search (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Optimization (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Learning Graphical Models > Undirected Networks > Markov Models (0.46)
Resolution-Aware Retrieval Augmented Zero-Shot Forecasting
Deznabi, Iman, Kumar, Peeyush, Fiterau, Madalina
Zero-shot forecasting aims to predict outcomes for previously unseen conditions without direct historical data, posing a significant challenge for traditional forecasting methods. We introduce a Resolution-Aware Retrieval-Augmented Forecasting model that enhances predictive accuracy by leveraging spatial correlations and temporal frequency characteristics. By decomposing signals into different frequency components, our model employs resolution-aware retrieval, where lower-frequency components rely on broader spatial context, while higher-frequency components focus on local influences. This allows the model to dynamically retrieve relevant data and adapt to new locations with minimal historical context. Applied to microclimate forecasting, our model significantly outperforms traditional forecasting methods, numerical weather prediction models, and modern foundation time series models, achieving 71% lower MSE than HRRR and 34% lower MSE than Chronos on the ERA5 dataset. Our results highlight the effectiveness of retrieval-augmented and resolution-aware strategies, offering a scalable and data-efficient solution for zero-shot forecasting in microclimate modeling and beyond.
- North America > United States > Massachusetts > Hampshire County > Amherst (0.14)
- North America > United States > District of Columbia > Washington (0.05)
- North America > United States > Washington > King County > Redmond (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
- Information Technology > Modeling & Simulation (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Natural Language > Large Language Model (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (0.94)
- North America > United States > California > San Francisco County > San Francisco (0.14)
- Asia > Middle East > Jordan (0.04)
- North America > United States > Massachusetts > Middlesex County > Cambridge (0.04)
- (5 more...)
- Leisure & Entertainment (0.68)
- Education (0.68)
- North America > United States > California > Los Angeles County > Los Angeles (0.14)
- Oceania > Australia > Victoria > Melbourne (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York > Suffolk County > Huntington (0.04)
- (2 more...)
- North America > United States > Minnesota > Hennepin County > Minneapolis (0.14)
- Oceania > Australia > South Australia > Adelaide (0.04)
- North America > Canada (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
Zero-Shot Transferable Solution Method for Parametric Optimal Control Problems
Li, Xingjian, Kan, Kelvin, Verma, Deepanshu, Kumar, Krishna, Osher, Stanley, Drgoňa, Ján
This paper presents a transferable solution method for optimal control problems with varying objectives using function encoder (FE) policies. Traditional optimization-based approaches must be re-solved whenever objectives change, resulting in prohibitive computational costs for applications requiring frequent evaluation and adaptation. The proposed method learns a reusable set of neural basis functions that spans the control policy space, enabling efficient zero-shot adaptation to new tasks through either projection from data or direct mapping from problem specifications. The key idea is an offline-online decomposition: basis functions are learned once during offline imitation learning, while online adaptation requires only lightweight coefficient estimation. Numerical experiments across diverse dynamics, dimensions, and cost structures show our method delivers near-optimal performance with minimal overhead when generalizing across tasks, enabling semi-global feedback policies suitable for real-time deployment.
- Research Report (0.50)
- Overview (0.47)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks (0.95)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Agents (0.68)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Optimization (0.68)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Natural Language > Large Language Model (0.61)